What are the current odds for "Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $61.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.5% or No shares at 87.5%. The market has $10.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Updated Today

The Insurrection Act allows presidents to deploy military forces domestically under specific emergency conditions—a highly controversial power rarely invoked. Markets price a June 30, 2026 invocation at 14%, suggesting traders view significant domestic crisis as unlikely over the next 18 months.

Current Probability

12.5%+0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1