What are the current odds for "Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $71.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $17.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?

Updated Today

Google's next-generation AI model Gemini 3.5 faces a 11% probability of launching by April 30, 2026, according to prediction markets tracking the race between major AI labs. The release timeline matters for Google's competition with OpenAI and other frontier AI developers.

Current Probability

10.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1