What are the current odds for "DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $815.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 100.0%. The market has $218.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Updated Ended

DeepSeek's timeline for releasing V4 before mid-March is priced at just 1% probability, suggesting the AI company's development roadmap makes a near-term release extremely unlikely. This reflects the substantial engineering work required for major model iterations and the company's typical release cadence over recent years.

Current Probability

0.1%+0.15%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1