What are the current odds for "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 16.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 16.5% or No shares at 83.5%. The market has $7.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

Updated Today

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? is currently trading at 16.5% on Polymarket, with $1,552 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

16.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.06 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1

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Kalshi

Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico passed the House before Jul 1, 2026?

Outcome: Mexico

15.0%

$8.7K vol