What metals markets can I trade on prediction markets?

You can trade on gold and silver price targets, precious metals milestones, and related macro events. Kalshi offers structured strike-price contracts while Polymarket covers broader commodity and macro events that affect metals prices.

What drives gold prediction market prices?

Gold prediction market prices respond to Federal Reserve rate decisions, inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, dollar strength, central bank buying, and safe-haven demand. Markets update in real time as economic data and news arrive.

How do metals prediction markets compare to futures?

Metals prediction markets offer binary contracts ("Will gold hit $3,500 by June?") rather than continuous price exposure. They are simpler to trade with capped downside, while futures offer more granular price exposure with margin requirements.

Metals Prediction Market Odds 2026 - Gold, Silver & Precious Metals

PredictMarketCap

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

212,827

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$9.57B

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$2.67B

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$14.19B

Polymarket$13.61BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$488.78MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$92.14MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Active Resolved

Gold, silver & precious metals

Metals Prediction Markets

Track prediction market odds for gold, silver, and other precious metal price targets. Metals prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi let traders express views on commodity price milestones, safe-haven demand, and macro-driven price movements with real-money contracts.

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