What are the current odds for "Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $74.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.5% or No shares at 97.5%. The market has $17.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Updated Today

Xi Jinping has been married to Peng Liyuan since 1987, and prediction markets give a divorce before 2027 only a 2% probability. Any such split would represent an extraordinary political shock in China, where the leadership's personal stability is tightly controlled.

Current Probability

2.5%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$40.82 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1