Updated Today
Markets currently give Trump a 71% chance of visiting China by March 31, 2026, reflecting geopolitical thaw expectations and diplomatic engagement patterns. Such a visit would signal significant shifts in U.S.-China relations during his administration.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.20 return per $1
If No wins
$6.06 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volSenators vs. Rangers
PM·$1.72M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Red Wings
PM·$1.00M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$3.95M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$5.55M volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$12.00M volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$1.42M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$4.06M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K vol
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit China before May 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before May 1, 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit China before May 8, 2026?
Outcome: Before May 8, 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: China
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit Iran before May 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before May 1, 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit Venezuela before May 1, 2026?
Outcome: Donald Trump
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit China before Jun 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
