Updated Today
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Tax" 20+ times during National Agriculture Day events? is currently trading at 55.0% on Polymarket, with $6,995 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.82 return per $1
If No wins
$2.22 return per $1
Price Changes
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KalshiWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in March 2026?
Outcome: Yes
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiWill the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?
Outcome: $40 trillion
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?
Outcome: Before 2028
KalshiWill the national debt hit $50 trillion during the Trump Administration?
Outcome: $50 trillion
