What are the current odds for "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $8.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.5% or No shares at 84.5%. The market has $14.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Updated Today

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? is currently trading at 15.5% on Polymarket, with $8,298 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

15.5%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

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Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in March 2026?

Outcome: Yes

17.0%

$65.4K vol

++0.04% 24h