What are the current odds for "Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 76.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $199.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 76.5% or No shares at 23.5%. The market has $59.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 weeks (Apr 21, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Updated Today

Virginia's redistricting referendum on April 21, 2026 could reshape the state's electoral map and congressional representation for the next decade. Markets currently give the referendum a 75% chance of passing, suggesting voters are more likely to approve the redistricting proposal than reject it.

Current Probability

76.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.31 return per $1

If No wins

$4.26 return per $1