What are the current odds for "Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 20.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $3.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 20.5% or No shares at 79.5%. The market has $3.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Updated Ended

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? is currently trading at 20.5% on Polymarket, with $3,083 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

20.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.88 return per $1

If No wins

$1.26 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Tesla Optimus Release Before 2027

Outcome: Before 2027

When will Tesla release Model Y to the public?

Outcome: Before 2027

11.0%

$16.9K vol

++0.01% 24h

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Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$3.4K

24h Volume$5

Total Volume$3.1K

Liquidity$3.4K

Ends9 months

End DateDec 31, 2026

Price Changes

24 hours+0.01%

7 days+0.01%

Trade Now

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