What are the current odds for "Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 50.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 50.5% or No shares at 49.5%. The market has $117 in liquidity.

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Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?

Updated 3 months ago

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 17:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Currently 50.5% on Polymarket, with $1,202 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

50.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.98 return per $1

If No wins

$2.02 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Listed on Polymarket Nov 25, 2025

Price History