What are the current odds for "Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 90.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $890 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 90.5% or No shares at 9.5%. The market has $5.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026? is currently trading at 90.5% on Polymarket, with $890 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

90.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.10 return per $1

If No wins

$10.53 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Outcome: Lebanon

18.0%

$18.4K vol

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Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026?

93.8%

$33.0K vol

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$5.8K

24h Volume$81

Total Volume$890

Liquidity$5.8K

Ends1 weeks

End DateMar 31, 2026

Price Changes

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