What are the current odds for "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 27.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $126.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 27.5% or No shares at 72.5%. The market has $12.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

India-Pakistan military escalation remains a critical geopolitical risk through 2026, with markets assigning a 29% probability to an Indian strike by year-end. Historical tensions and nuclear stakes make this one of the highest-consequence regional markets.

Current Probability

27.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.64 return per $1

If No wins

$1.38 return per $1