What are the current odds for "Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.2% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $77.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.2% or No shares at 97.8%. The market has $11.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Updated Today

Tensions between India and Pakistan remain high following their 2019 conflict, making any potential military strike before March 31 a significant geopolitical flashpoint. Markets give this scenario just a 5% chance, reflecting the low immediate probability despite historical precedent for rapid escalation.

Current Probability

2.2%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$45.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1