What are the current odds for "US strike on Cuba by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 29.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $690.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US strike on Cuba by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 29.5% or No shares at 70.5%. The market has $62.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Updated Today

A direct US military strike on Cuba by year-end carries a 36% probability according to prediction markets, capturing geopolitical tensions and the unpredictability of American foreign policy toward the island nation under current conditions.

Current Probability

29.5%-0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.39 return per $1

If No wins

$1.42 return per $1