What are the current odds for "US strike on Colombia by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 22.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $415.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 22.0% or No shares at 78.0%. The market has $13.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Updated Today

US-Colombia tensions have escalated recently over immigration and deportation policies, but military strikes would represent unprecedented escalation in a key regional relationship. Markets give this scenario a 23% probability by end-2025, reflecting genuine concern but also skepticism that diplomacy will hold.

Current Probability

22.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.55 return per $1

If No wins

$1.28 return per $1