What are the current odds for "Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 23.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $327.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 23.5% or No shares at 76.5%. The market has $8.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Updated Today

The probability of another U.S. military strike on Venezuela by December 31, 2026 is priced at 22% in prediction markets, reflecting geopolitical tensions but far from consensus. The market deadline of January 31 suggests traders expect clarity on regional escalation within weeks.

Current Probability

23.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.26 return per $1

If No wins

$1.31 return per $1