What are the current odds for "US strike on Colombia by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.7% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $390.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US strike on Colombia by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.7% or No shares at 98.3%. The market has $15.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Updated Today

A direct U.S. military strike on Colombia would represent an unprecedented escalation in Western Hemisphere relations and mark a dramatic shift in American foreign policy. Markets currently assign this just a 1% probability, indicating traders view it as an extremely remote scenario.

Current Probability

1.7%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$58.82 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1