What are the current odds for "Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $14.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.5% or No shares at 87.5%. The market has $2.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?

Updated 2 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Currently 12.5% on Polymarket, with $14,310 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

12.5%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.

This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket Dec 11, 2025 · Resolves Jan 1, 2027