What are the current odds for "Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 13.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $170.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 13.5% or No shares at 86.5%. The market has $5.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

Updated Today

Austria remains unlikely to formally recognize Palestine before the end of 2026, with markets giving just 11% odds despite ongoing diplomatic pressure and shifting European positions on Palestinian statehood.

Current Probability

13.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.16 return per $1