What are the current odds for "US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 22.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $23.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 22.5% or No shares at 77.5%. The market has $8.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Currently 22.5% on Polymarket, with $23,313 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

22.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.44 return per $1

If No wins

$1.29 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.