What are the current odds for "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? "?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 25.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $61.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? "?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 25.0% or No shares at 75.0%. The market has $25.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Updated Today

Ukraine's potential NATO membership remains a central flashpoint in Russian-Western tensions and the ongoing war. Markets currently give a 26% chance Ukraine agrees to stay out of NATO before 2027, suggesting most bettors expect continued resistance to exclusionary agreements.

Current Probability

25.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.33 return per $1