Updated Today
NATO membership remains highly contentious for Ukraine amid the ongoing conflict, with prediction markets giving only a 3% chance of formal accession before 2027. Alliance expansion hinges on geopolitical developments and alliance consensus.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$28.57 return per $1
If No wins
$1.04 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$8.45M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$3.71M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$2.39M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K volMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$154.4K volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$469.5K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.32M volNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
