
Updated Today
Direct military intervention by EU or NATO troops in Ukraine remains a low-probability event, with markets giving it just a 6% chance by June 30, 2026. Such a move would represent major escalation and would overturn longstanding Western caution about direct NATO-Russia confrontation.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$18.18 return per $1
If No wins
$1.06 return per $1
Price Changes
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