Updated Today
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? is currently trading at 54.0% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.85 return per $1
If No wins
$2.17 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
PM·$12.12M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
PM·$30.87M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M vol
KalshiWill the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?
Outcome: Before 2029
KalshiWill a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of The United States in United States v. Hemani
Outcome: Before 2026
KalshiWill Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
Outcome: Amul Thapar
KalshiWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of The State of Louisiana in Louisiana v. Callais
Outcome: Before 2026
KalshiWill Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
Outcome: Aileen Cannon
