Updated Today
China's monetary policy carries major implications for global markets and yuan stability, but traders currently give the People's Bank of China just a 1% chance of cutting rates by March 31—indicating expectations of steady policy despite economic pressures.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$111.11 return per $1
If No wins
$1.01 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
PM·$12.12M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
PM·$29.14M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M vol
KalshiWill the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the March Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Outcome: Maintain current rate
KalshiWill the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the March Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Outcome: Cut 25bps
KalshiWill Bank of Canada Hike rates by 0bps at their April 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Maintains rate
KalshiWill the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the April Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Outcome: Maintain current rate
KalshiHow many corporate bankruptcies will there be this year?
Outcome: Above 750
KalshiWill Bank of Canada Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Cut 25bps
