What are the current odds for "NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $75.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.0% or No shares at 83.0%. The market has $10.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Updated 3 days ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Currently 17.0% on Polymarket, with $75,049 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

17.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.88 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1

↓ Compare across platforms Trending markets →

Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.