What are the current odds for "Megaquake by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.7% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $112.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Megaquake by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.7% or No shares at 97.3%. The market has $5.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Megaquake by March 31?

Updated Today

A megaquake—typically defined as a magnitude 8.0 or higher earthquake—striking by March 31, 2026 carries just a 5% probability according to seismic risk assessments. Such catastrophic events occur unpredictably, but major temblors are rare enough that markets reflect genuinely low odds.

Current Probability

2.7%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$37.04 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

Price History