Updated Today
Ramzan Kadyrov's position as Chechen Republic leader faces only a 2% removal probability by March 31, 2026, reflecting his tight grip on power. Markets suggest Russia's political structure keeps him firmly entrenched despite international scrutiny.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$57.14 return per $1
If No wins
$1.02 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
PM·$12.12M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
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PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
PM·$25.68M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M volRelatedKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
RelatedKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
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