What are the current odds for "Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 14.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $115.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 14.1% or No shares at 85.9%. The market has $8.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Markets assess only a 5% probability Israel conducts a military strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026, signaling low expectations for major escalation in Syrian airspace despite ongoing regional tensions. This reflects the status quo of limited but periodic Israeli operations.

Current Probability

14.1%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.09 return per $1

If No wins

$1.16 return per $1