What are the current odds for "Iran Nuke before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $430.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Iran Nuke before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $100.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Iran Nuke before 2027?

Updated Today

Iran's nuclear program remains one of the most closely monitored geopolitical flashpoints, with major implications for Middle East stability and global security. Markets currently give a 14% chance Iran develops a nuclear weapon by end of 2026, pricing in ongoing diplomatic and technical barriers.

Current Probability

10.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1

Price History