What are the current odds for "Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.8% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $123.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.8% or No shares at 98.2%. The market has $5.6K in liquidity.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

128,437

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,818,333,346

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$584,297,996

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,480,992,934

Polymarket$3.08BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$380.07MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$24.19MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

128,437

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,818,333,346

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$584,297,996

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,480,992,934

Polymarket$3.08BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$380.07MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$24.19MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

xAI's Grok AI chatbot faces a March 31, 2026 deadline in this market, with only a 2% probability of release by then—suggesting traders expect the next major version will launch later or face continued delays.

Current Probability

1.8%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$55.56 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1