What are the current odds for "Elon Bull Run Parlay"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 11.2% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $10.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Elon Bull Run Parlay"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 11.2% or No shares at 88.8%. The market has $8.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Updated 4 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Elon Musk trillionaire - Another Elon baby - 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Currently 11.2% on Polymarket, with $10,853 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

11.2%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.93 return per $1

If No wins

$1.13 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

Elon Musk trillionaire
Another Elon baby
9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf

View full rules