What are the current odds for "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 41.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.72M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 41.5% or No shares at 58.5%. The market has $92.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Updated 2 min ago

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R.3633) must pass both chambers of Congress and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, for this market to resolve Yes. Markets currently give this legislation a 51% chance of becoming law.

Current Probability

41.5%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.71 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

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