What are the current odds for "Blue wave in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 73.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $50.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Blue wave in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 73.0% or No shares at 27.0%. The market has $13.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 4 months (Nov 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Blue wave in 2026?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Currently 73.0% on Polymarket, with $50,788 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

73.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.37 return per $1

If No wins

$3.70 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf

View full rules