What are the current odds for "Blue tsunami in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 41.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $29.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Blue tsunami in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 41.5% or No shares at 58.5%. The market has $15.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 4 months (Nov 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Updated 4 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Currently 41.5% on Polymarket, with $29,709 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

41.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.71 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf

View full rules