What are the current odds for "Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $82.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.4% or No shares at 96.7%. The market has $13.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Updated 34 min ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 3.4% on Polymarket, with $82,566 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

3.4%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$29.85 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.