What are the current odds for "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 12.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $28.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 12.5% or No shares at 87.5%. The market has $9.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 12.5% on Polymarket, with $28,731 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

12.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$8.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.14 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.