What are the current odds for "Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 64.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $5.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 64.0% or No shares at 36.0%. The market has $1.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?

Updated 3 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Currently 64.0% on Polymarket, with $5,071 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

64.0%-0.10%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.56 return per $1

If No wins

$2.78 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.

This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket Feb 5, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026