What are the current odds for "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $93.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.5% or No shares at 99.5%. The market has $9.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?

Updated Today

The possibility of Trump authorizing Tomahawk missile strikes into Ukraine by March 31, 2026 carries just a 1% market probability. Such escalation would fundamentally alter the geopolitical landscape and risks direct NATO-Russia confrontation.

Current Probability

0.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$181.82 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1

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Kalshi

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in March 2026?

Outcome: Yes

15.0%

$68.8K vol

-0.02% 24h