Updated Today
Will Trump say "Illegal Alien" during National Agriculture Day events? is currently trading at 42.0% on Polymarket, with $630 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.38 return per $1
If No wins
$1.72 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
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PM·$795.3K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
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PM·$1.26M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
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PM·$189.3K vol
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiWill the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?
Outcome: $40 trillion
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?
Outcome: Before 2028
KalshiWill the national debt hit $50 trillion during the Trump Administration?
Outcome: $50 trillion
KalshiWill the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Administration?
Outcome: $45 trillion
