
Updated Today
Traders give Trump a 0% probability of saying "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during a planned Address to the Nation on April 1, 2026. The specificity of this linguistic bet suggests markets are pricing in either the address's non-occurrence or Trump's typical speech patterns.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2000.00 return per $1
If No wins
$1.00 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Senators vs. Lightning
Senators vs. Rangers
Islanders vs. Senators
Senators vs. Red Wings
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintseva
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Senators vs. Panthers
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Senators vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
Senators vs. Capitals
Outcome: Ceasefire