Updated Today
A Trump-Putin meeting by March 31, 2026 remains highly unlikely according to markets, which give it just a 2% probability amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Such a summit would signal a dramatic shift in U.S.-Russia diplomatic relations, making it one of the year's most consequential political events.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$166.67 return per $1
If No wins
$1.01 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volSenators vs. Rangers
PM·$1.72M volSenators vs. Red Wings
PM·$1.00M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$3.81M volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$11.44M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.97M volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$1.10M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$4.68M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K vol
KalshiWhere will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Outcome: Hungary
KalshiWhere will Trump and Putin next meet?
Outcome: Turkey
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in March 2026?
Outcome: Yes
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029
KalshiWill Donald Trump meet in person Nicolás Maduro before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Nicolás Maduro
