
Updated Today
Direct diplomatic engagement between Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez would signal a dramatic shift in U.S.–Venezuela relations. Markets price such a meeting by March 31, 2026 at just 14%, reflecting the substantial geopolitical tensions that make official contact unlikely.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$5.05 return per $1
If No wins
$1.25 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Senators vs. Rangers
Senators vs. Red Wings
Islanders vs. Senators
Senators vs. Capitals
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Trump out as President by March 31?
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Trump out as President by June 30?
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in March 2026?
Outcome: Yes
Will Donald Trump meet in person Nicolás Maduro before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Nicolás Maduro
Will Donald Trump meet in person Xi Jinping before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Xi Jinping
Will Donald Trump meet in person Pope Leo XIV before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Pope Leo XIV
Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet before Apr 1, 2026?
Outcome: Xi Jinping
Will Donald Trump meet in person Kim Jong Un before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Kim Jong Un