What are the current odds for "Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 14.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $57.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 14.0% or No shares at 86.0%. The market has $12.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 14.0% on Polymarket, with $57,798 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

14.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$7.14 return per $1

If No wins

$1.16 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.