What are the current odds for "Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $201.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.1% or No shares at 98.9%. The market has $13.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 days (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

U.S.-Iran tensions remain a geopolitical flashpoint with serious global implications. Markets currently assess a 6% chance Trump declares war on Iran by March 31, 2026, reflecting low but non-negligible risk of direct military escalation.

Current Probability

1.1%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$90.91 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1

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