What are the current odds for "Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 22.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $456.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 22.5% or No shares at 77.5%. The market has $28.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

121,838

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,565,533,998

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$463,658,245

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,630,155,679

Polymarket$2.26BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.04MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.32MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

121,838

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,565,533,998

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$463,658,245

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,630,155,679

Polymarket$2.26BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.04MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.32MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Updated Today

Iran's Kharg Island terminal is a critical energy hub and frequent target of regional tensions, with significant implications for global oil markets. Markets currently give a 27% chance of a strike before March 31, reflecting ongoing geopolitical volatility in the Persian Gulf.

Current Probability

22.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.44 return per $1

If No wins

$1.29 return per $1