Updated Today
Kharg Island, a strategically vital Iranian oil facility in the Persian Gulf, has drawn geopolitical attention regarding potential control changes. Markets give only a 28% probability the island will no longer be under Iranian control by April 30, 2026, suggesting most traders expect the status quo to persist.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.82 return per $1
If No wins
$1.55 return per $1
Price Changes
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