Updated Today
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? is currently trading at 8.0% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$12.50 return per $1
If No wins
$1.09 return per $1
Price Changes
KalshiWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 29, 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Above 3.75%
KalshiWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 29, 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Above 3.25%
KalshiWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Apr 29, 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Above 2.75%
KalshiWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 29, 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Above 3.00%
KalshiWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Above 3.50%
KalshiWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting?
Outcome: Above 3.50%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
PM·$678.3K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?
PM·$481.4K volS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
PM·$483.7K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
PM·$421.9K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
PM·$435.6K volCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$344.1K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$297.5K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 21?
PM·$328.7K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$302.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10AM ET
PM·$282.3K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$318.5K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?
PM·$273.2K vol